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fightoffyour

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Posts posted by fightoffyour

  1. Any chance of a Monte Carlo sim update

     

    we had one after the QPR game:

    Not much of a change from last time through for our chances

    QPR: 59% 20th, 31% 19th, 7% 18th, 3% stay up

    Reading: 38% 20th, 45% 19th, 12% 18th, 6% stay up

    Villa: 1% 20th, 10% 19th, 34% 18th, 55% stay up

    Wigan: 2% 20th, 11% 19th, 26% 18th, 61% stay up

    Sunderland: 1% 19th, 12% 18th, 87% stay up

    Southampton: 1% 19th, 4% 18th, 95% stay up

    West Ham: 2% 18th, 98% stay up

    Norwich 1% 18th, 99% stay up

    Newcastle: 1% 18th, 99% stay up

  2. I have been having a look at our remaining games.

    Trying to be objective and not letting my heart rule my head, I have come up with the following possible results:

    Everton - draw

    West Ham - Villa win

    Arsenal - Villa loss

    Man City - Villa loss

    Reading - Villa win

    QPR - Villa win

    Liverpool - draw

    Stoke - Villa loss

    Fulham - Villa win

    Man Utd - Villa loss

    Sunderland - draw

    Norwich - Villa loss

    Chelsea - Villa loss

    Wigan - Villa loss

    This would leave us finishing our league campaign on 35 points.

    Is that enough?

    Still going strong. Hope you've got it wrong from Stoke on though because we will need more than 35.

  3. last season, 17th and 18th had 28 points and joint -19 GD after 30 games, when 37 points was enough for 17th place (18th had 36).

     

     

    This season, us and Wigan may be joint 30 points after 30 games, so it looks like a projected 38-39 points could be needed.

     

     

    I think Wigan will escape again, but Sunderland will go down.

  4. Think Sylla played well too and his passing looks top notch, as did his composure again, just a couple of rash challenges and I wouldn't of took him off if it wasn't for his booking if I were Lambert.

    It was actually Vlaar who fouled the player when Sylla got booked, just to compund the refs total incompetence.

  5. Yes the title race could well be over by the time Wigan have their game in hand against City in mid April, as it is just after the Manchester derby which may decide it. We then also play Utd just after, so it is very unlikely that we will have it all our way in that City will still need to beat Wigan AND that Utd won't have anything to play for against us.

  6. What a massive opportunity tomorrow is not only for us to put some distance between ourselves and the bottom 3 but to also bring a number of teams to within touching distance. Sunderland, Norwich, West Ham, Stoke, Fulham and Newcastle, and most have tough looking fixtures, could all potentially be within 3 points after this weekends games so long as we win tomorrow.

    Sunderland are playing Norwich so it's probably best for us if Norwich win - they will pull to safety but Sunderland will be right in it. The rest i think are fine, especially Newcastle who are in no trouble whatsoever.

  7. I'm afraid I cannot debate with someone who thinks we knocked Swansea out of the league cup, or fails to recognise any other good performance we have given. You keep ignoring the Liverpool game.

     

    In bold, that is a load of tosh - read that back to yourself. We played negative football....end of. There was no counter-attacking football.

     

    That was a brainfart on Swansea. I meant Norwich away in the cup. That's the problem with making long posts and not checking but whatever.

     

    Don't debate then. It's painful to debate with people who cherry pick things you say rather than responding to the overall point. I never said McLeish played counter-attacking football because a lot of the time he didn't, he played for draws as I said previously.

     

    It is possiible to play successful defensive football. Chelsea won the champions league this year with pretty negative football, Inter did a few years ago, Greece won the Euros less than ten years ago with an awful team. If people think its more entertaining to concede a record number of goals then okay that's your opinion but it's not mine.

     

    My overall point was a manager should recognise the strengths of the team and pick tactics to suit the players. We should be protecting the defence right now because it is atrocious. That means packing the midfield a bit which is entirely negative. There are a few sides in the league we can go toe to toe with and try and outplay right now by opening the game up but only a few.

     

    My eyes tell me that this season has seen better football than last.

  8. The only team we have obviously outplayed is Reading. We've taken six points off them, they looked very poor both games. You could make an argument for Swansea as we've taken four points off them and knocked them out the league cup.

    Didn't Swansea win the league cup?

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