BOF Posted August 7, 2013 Moderator Share Posted August 7, 2013 Story Using all sorts of clever algorithms, stats and other analytical tools, Bloomberg Sports reckon they know what the Premier League table will look like at the end of the season… As the new season gets closer and closer we are still undecided as to who we fancy to win the title. Will Manuel Pellegrini hit the ground running at Manchester City? How about David Moyes, can he keep the Fergie machine ticking over? Then there’s Arsenal, possibly with Luis Suarez attached and, of course, there’s the return of the Special One at Stamford Bridge. Throw in Spurs, with our without Bale and a Liverpool team seemingly on the up under Brendan Rodgers and it is the most open Premier League race in years. But it is only open to us because we are mere mortals, not analytical geniuses like the folks at Bloomberg Sports. By using complex, and not fully clear to us analytical tools, they have posted what they reckon the final table will look like in England, France and Germany. To have a closer look at the methodology behind it, click here. If it makes sense to you, do let us know. Anyway, here’s the Premier League table as they see it at season’s end. It’s great news for Chelsea, and not such good news for Palace, Hull and Cardiff, if they are correct. The lads at Bloomberg also tell us that by their calculations, if Gareth Bale does leave Spurs their odds of a Top Four finish go from 34 per cent to just under 21 per cent. For the record they expect Bayern Munich and PSG to run away with their respective leagues. We’ll check back on this piece in May, see how they did. Apart from maybe Newcastle, I don't see anything that's outrageous with the table myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Demitri_C Posted August 7, 2013 Share Posted August 7, 2013 newcastle 8th? stopped reading there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo985 Posted August 7, 2013 VT Supporter Share Posted August 7, 2013 0.3% chance of top 4? I'll take that! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zatman Posted August 7, 2013 Share Posted August 7, 2013 think we will score more than the 47 suggested but otherwise except Newcastle its spot on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigel Posted August 7, 2013 VT Supporter Share Posted August 7, 2013 Why bother playing the league then, ill save a bit of money for starters! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BOF Posted August 7, 2013 Author Moderator Share Posted August 7, 2013 newcastle 8th? stopped reading thereIt's probably the only one I can definitively disagree with. The rest all seem plausible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packoman Posted August 7, 2013 Share Posted August 7, 2013 I'm 100% sure the table won't finish like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mantis Posted August 7, 2013 Share Posted August 7, 2013 Can't see Hull, Crystal Palace and Cardiff all going down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flamingsombrero Posted August 7, 2013 Share Posted August 7, 2013 (edited) I recon one of the newcomers will scrape survival, Man U will pip Man City for second and Newcastle will be bottom half. Other than that it's pretty much there. Can see it being another year with no real mid-table to speak of too, with anyone not seriously pushing for Europe involved in the Relegation scramble till quite late on in the season. Edited August 7, 2013 by flamingsombrero Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voinjama Posted August 7, 2013 Share Posted August 7, 2013 In the main section of the forum I predicted Villa to be 12th. And they also have the same top 4 that I predicted. Finally for relegation they have 2 of the 3 I predicted too. Come May I don't think the Blomberg boffins will be far off with those predictions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OutByEaster? Posted August 7, 2013 Moderator Share Posted August 7, 2013 I think they've been a little generous to West Ham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LondonLax Posted August 7, 2013 Share Posted August 7, 2013 Newcastle finished 5th just two seasons ago with pretty much the same team. It is not inconceivable that they could finish 8th if Cabaye, Ben Arfa, Tiote, Cisse, Sissoko etc find form again. They have a top 8 squad in my opinion. Their troubles are at management level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Demitri_C Posted August 7, 2013 Share Posted August 7, 2013 with kinnear there no chance they will finish 8th in my view Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Fun Factory Posted August 7, 2013 Share Posted August 7, 2013 Cant see Newcastle and Swansea 8 and 9th. Newcastle have to cope with the JFK roadshow, and Swansea will have to play loads of Europa matches. Other than that seems a reasonable forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
villa4europe Posted August 7, 2013 Share Posted August 7, 2013 i can see Swansea finishing around 6/7th tbh depending on what kind of season everton have, Newcastle wont finish there and I don't think Cardiff will go down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AVFCforever1991 Posted August 7, 2013 Share Posted August 7, 2013 (edited) Wonder how the Europa League will affect Swansea? Edited August 7, 2013 by AVFCforever1991 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
troon_villan Posted August 7, 2013 Share Posted August 7, 2013 I'm 100% sure the table won't finish like that. You can't be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
villa89 Posted August 7, 2013 Share Posted August 7, 2013 Can't see Hull, Crystal Palace and Cardiff all going down. Me either, every season people pick the three teams who have come up to go back down and they very seldom do. One of those three will stay up IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LondonLax Posted August 7, 2013 Share Posted August 7, 2013 I think Cardiff will be the one this year. Probably with Norwich going the other direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr_Pangloss Posted August 7, 2013 Share Posted August 7, 2013 The methodology isn't particularly complex, however that prediction is no better than a qualitative one made by someone who understands English football. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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