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Just now, sne said:

Friend of mine just sent me a picture of one of the guys at Capital Hill who looks a spitting image of me, even down to the red had :crylaugh:

I don't wear glasses (although I should) but it is scary how much this moron looks like me.

Beskrivning saknas.

What’s it like in there? 

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9 minutes ago, Stevo985 said:

I agree that shouldn't happen.

I've seen this chart before and looked into it. The bottom line is, it didn't happen.

 

The chart (and several others like it that appear to have come from the same data) was created by writing a script that scraped the NYT live voting data.

The problem is, that data was incredibly high level, and only gave the number of votes counted and the proportion of votes (Dem or Rep) to the nearest 0.1% (which I'm sure you can appreciate is nowhere near enough decimal places when you're dealing with millions of votes)

 

The mistake the person who created these charts has made, which as a stats guy I'm sure you'll appreciate is pretty fundamental, is they've used the CUMULATIVE percentage of votes (i.e the percentage of all votes cast up to that point) to split the latest batch of votes.

 

For example, let's say we are halfway through counting and the current split of all the votes up to now was 49% Rep 51% Dem (I've made up those numbers as an example). The latest batch of votes come in, let's say it's a batch of 100 votes. I'm sure you'll agree that 100 votes is not enough to change that overall ratio of 49% vs 51% when we're talking about millions and millions of votes. But in the data this person has used, he' has assumed that cumulative percentage is the percentage split of that 100 votes that has come in. We have no way of knowing what the split of that 100 votes is, only that it didn't change the overall split. It could be 100 votes for biden, 100 for trump, 50/50, whatever. However this person collecting this data has assumed those votes split exactly 49/51.

This is a fundamental error and is enough to discount any analysis based off it. The person collecting it has incorrectly reverse engineered the data to get to vote numbers which are totally false. 

This coupled with the fact the percentages are rounded to far too few decimal places when dealing with large numbers means that the numbers being used are, largely, complete nonsense.

And it also means when you do get large swings in data, like the infamous 170k batch for which 120k were Biden votes, incorrectly backing the data out on rounded percentages gives you negative numbers as above.

 

TL;DR, the data is wrong

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1 minute ago, sne said:

Friend of mine just sent me a picture of one of the guys at Capital Hill who looks a spitting image of me, even down to the red had :crylaugh:

I don't wear glasses (although I should) but it is scary how much this moron looks like me.

Beskrivning saknas.

Look at the f in state of them (not the guy in the red hat obviously) 

It would be funny if it wasn't so deadly serious what they are doing. 

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Just now, villianusa said:

I don't know, but the truth will hopefully be out sooner than later. 

Try and be an adult and stop with the insults because someone disagrees with you. 

Which part was insulting to you ? The facts  ?

Did Trump not try to cripple the post office and threaten a Republican in Georgia ?

Just because you are wrong it doesn't mean you are being insulted.

 

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9 minutes ago, sne said:

Friend of mine just sent me a picture of one of the guys at Capital Hill who looks a spitting image of me, even down to the red had :crylaugh:

I don't wear glasses (although I should) but it is scary how much this moron looks like me.

Beskrivning saknas.

Your mate just in front of you...

 

 

 

 

Edited by chrisp65
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Just now, Awol said:

“I came to do a revolution and there was violence! My name and home address? Sure, it’s..” 

Art. 

I feel like I live on a different planet to these people.

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6 minutes ago, bannedfromHandV said:

I’ve been enjoying it to be honest 🍿

It’s like a side mission in a video game running alongside the main story 😉

😂😂😂

To be honest I had no idea what he was talking about at the end, all very cryptic, was like watching a David Lynch movie and just as boring.

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