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maqroll

U.S. Politics

6,309 posts in this topic

Posted

2 minutes ago, villakram said:

If the election contest were decided by popular vote, Trump would have competed for the popular vote. You play by the rules, not how you wish the rules were.

He still thinks he won something he lost, and thinks he'd win it again despite his approval rating tanking.

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Posted

40 minutes ago, villakram said:

If the election contest were decided by popular vote, Trump would have competed for the popular vote. You play by the rules, not how you wish the rules were.

A fine point.

Has absolutely nothing to do with what a m ole is saying though.

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Posted

5 hours ago, StefanAVFC said:

To help put minds slightly at ease, it appears that the US is not mobilised for action, at least in terms of aircraft carriers, and that the much ballyhooed 'deployment' of the Carl Vinson was in fact part of a standard patrol passing through on the rounds:

'What with all the North Korea excitement, I thought it might be time to check on what the US Navy’s aircraft carriers are up to. This is always a useful way to distinguish “loud media yelling” from “something that might actually happen”.

[. . .]

So what’s up at the moment? Stennis, Truman, Reagan, and Lincoln – i.e. 40% of the force – are all in deep maintenance periods of one kind or another. It’s important to note that Reagan is the carrier based in Japan and is therefore logically the first to respond to any crisis in North-Eastern Asia. Her maintenance phase, or Selective Restricted Availability, was planned for four months from the 10th of January, so the fact she’s still tied to the pier may mean the work is dragging on, or more problems have been discovered during the work. Bush is deployed in the Persian Gulf, with a good three months of her deployment left to run.

Vinson, the one everyone is excited about, has been operating all year in the Western Pacific. Like Bush, she is mid-deployment and due to head for home towards the end of June. She recently headed back to the Western Pacific from a port call in Singapore.

[. . .]

To sum up: out of the three routine tasks for carriers, one is covered by Bush while Vinson is doubling up on two of them. Overall availability is not unusually low, but it is not high either, as there is one carrier immediately available as a reserve while two reliefs will be needed for sailing dates in May. Vinson‘s recall to the Western Pacific may be more of an indicator that Reagan‘s return to availability is delayed than anything else.

Obviously, even one CVN is serious business. But just as in 2006-2007, there is no evidence of a mobilisation to match the talk.'

http://www.harrowell.org.uk/blog/2017/04/15/blog-like-its-2007/

 

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Posted

7 hours ago, StefanAVFC said:

I think this is just a publicity stunt to make it look like he's credible to his adversaries at home and aggressive to his adversaries abroad. He's a showman, this smacks of showmanship.

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Posted

8 hours ago, villakram said:

If the election contest were decided by popular vote, Trump would have competed for the popular vote. You play by the rules, not how you wish the rules were.

And he would still have lost the popular vote.  He had a ceiling of support even then, and he pretty much reached it.   His voters were very energized anti-establishment and/or anti-Hillary voters whose geographical distribution were ideally suited to the electoral college, whereas Hillary's support consisted of a mixture of true believers and "lesser of two evils"  voters who were heavily concentrated in states where votes of unenthusiastic supporters made no difference to the outcome.  I think she would have generated significantly higher turnout in a national popular vote contest, whereas he was pretty well maxed out.  He certainly wouldn't have overturned a 3 million vote difference.  Remember that his campaign was fueled primarily by free media coverage and publicity that was very much a national phenomenon.  There wasn't a huge groundwork operation that could somehow have been deployed differently.

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Posted

5 hours ago, maqroll said:

I think this is just a publicity stunt to make it look like he's credible to his adversaries at home and aggressive to his adversaries abroad. He's a showman, this smacks of showmanship.

Trump said at the meeting. “North Korea is a big world problem, and it’s a problem we have to finally solve.”

 

Finally solve ...hmmmmmm.:o

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Posted

Military action seems to be the only thing that stops his polls falling. For someone who thinks in such simplistic terms it seems pretty obvious he's going to want to keep the focus on military issues for as long as he can, which gives him the air cover to do all the nationalist economic stuff which he believes will get him re-elected.

 

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Posted

47 minutes ago, villaglint said:

Military action seems to be the only thing that stops his polls falling. For someone who thinks in such simplistic terms it seems pretty obvious he's going to want to keep the focus on military issues for as long as he can, which gives him the air cover to do all the nationalist economic stuff which he believes will get him re-elected.

 

Same thing George W. Bush did. His tenure in charge wasn't captivating the people until 9/11 saved him. It then allowed the entirety of his next 7 years in charge to be about war and protecting the homeland from terrorists. It would not surprise me if someone in Trumps cabinet has told him that war keeps Presidents in jobs or at least consistent military action does. So it doesn't surprise me that Trump is poking so many beehives right now. If he can start a war especially one with someone equally as unstable he can spin that as doing the US a favour..

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