tonyh29 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, sidcow said: Where are you getting this from? NBC App , it’s got pretty much real time counts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darrenm Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Florida is trump. Maybe Georgia too but Biden could pull that back with mail ins https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/forecast-president.html?auth=login-google1tap&login=google1tap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonyh29 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 (edited) 3 minutes ago, StefanAVFC said: Biden can comfortably win even without FL or GA, chill... Yeah but if Trump loses Florida I can go to bed knowing it’s over for him ... Trump wins there and I’m gonna have to stay up half the night to find the result Edited November 4, 2020 by tonyh29 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StefanAVFC Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, tonyh29 said: Yeah but if Trump loses Florida I can go to bed knowing the outcome , Trump wins there and I’m gonna have to stay up half the night Very true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Davkaus Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 The Westminster FPTP system isn't much better, but this is just mental. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lapal_fan Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Trump will win the small counties, and they will add up to the larger, more educated counties like Orlando. I can't see trump not winning FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonyh29 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Guess the only concern is that all the polls I saw for Florida had a Biden win , with pollsters saying they were confident their polls couldn’t be wrong (again) If Trump does take it against the polls , could that mean a lot of the other polls are wrong ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lapal_fan Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, tonyh29 said: Guess the only concern is that all the polls I saw for Florida had a Biden win , with pollsters saying they were confident their polls couldn’t be wrong (again) If Trump does take it against the polls , could that mean a lot of the other polls are wrong ? Inevitably I'd say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StefanAVFC Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 The polls recalculated after 2016 and got it right in 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StefanAVFC Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Also the tightening in Miami is mostly due to the Trump campaign targeting Cuban voters. That is not a repeatable demographic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ml1dch Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, tonyh29 said: ...with pollsters saying they were confident their polls couldn’t be wrong (again) (citation needed) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StefanAVFC Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dodgyknees Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, StefanAVFC said: Yep that’s pretty fair Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StefanAVFC Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darrenm Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 NC going towards Trump. Tits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StefanAVFC Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Mad it's this close, really. The bloke is off his head Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam-AVFC Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, darrenm said: NC going towards Trump. Tits. I just turned on the CNN coverage after you posted this and they had Trump down about 6%. I'm wondering if trying to follow this is a bit futile... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonyh29 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 17 minutes ago, ml1dch said: (citation needed) T’was the pollster expert they had on Sky news , don’t know his name but he had a beard so I knew he wasn’t to be trusted when he said it .. he basically said since 2016 they had tweaked all their models and know that their polls are right and Biden will romp it .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
il_serpente Posted November 4, 2020 VT Supporter Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, Sam-AVFC said: I just turned on the CNN coverage after you posted this and they had Trump down about 6%. I'm wondering if trying to follow this is a bit futile... It is, because Democrats were much more likely to vote early and/or by mail. So there will repeatedly be situations like Florida where Biden jumps to an early lead and Trump chips away at it. You really can't tell until most of the votes are in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lapal_fan Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 I'm amazed how many counties there are in each state. Some only have **** 12 people in them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts