The Hung Like a Donkey General Election December 2019 Thread

[brommy]

7 minutes ago, Newry_Villan said:

I live in the North of Ireland and hope the DUP get smashed back to 1690....oh wait they've never left that year.

Only 5690 years after Earth was created.

[bickster]

1 hour ago, ml1dch said:

But given it was a Lib Dem seat from 1997 - 2017, it's probably not one they are going to be keen to walk away from?

I also expect that they would be focusing on where they have a strong activist base and local representation, and holding a seat for 20 years is going to do that.

Just to back up my expectation, these are the last Local Council election results. Slight skewage in that Norwood was electing 2 councillors so I just used highest figure for each party (very little variance anyway)

Ward	Lib	Lab	Con	UKIP	Green
Cambridge	1398	381	962	492	154
Meols	1948	536	608	333	137
Norwood	928	1239	460	416	342
Kew	791	1124	446	454	212
Birkdale	1710	900	370	311	288
Ainsdale	944	907	1257	431	246
Dukes	1729	511	797	285	194
	9448	5598	4900	2722	1573	24241
	38.97529	23.09311	20.21369	11.22891	6.489006	100

 

You'll note that UKIP still had a significant presence but don't appear to have a declared candidate yet (NF Corp do)

Greens also have a significant presence

The really odd thing here is that the seat is a leave seat with a leave MP but I oddly think it will elect a remainer 

[blandy]

Ian Austin's right about Corbyn. He is totally unfit to be be PM, regardless of whatever else Austin thinks or says.

[Vive_La_Villa]

Edit: asked for NF corp means but clocked on now.

Edited November 7, 2019 by Vive_La_Villa

[cyrusr]

7 minutes ago, blandy said:

Ian Austin's right about Corbyn. He is totally unfit to be be PM, regardless of whatever else Austin thinks or says.

He is probably right about that. But to suggest Johnson is better... well I think I may have to disagree with that... 

[cyrusr]

1 minute ago, Vive_La_Villa said:

What does NF Corp mean?

Brexit Party - NF is "Nigel Farage" and they are set up as a company rather than a party IIRC, so Corporation. 

[blandy]

10 minutes ago, cyrusr said:

He is probably right about that. But to suggest Johnson is better... well I think I may have to disagree with that... 

Yeah. Pair of absolute duds.

[bannedfromHandV]

10 minutes ago, blandy said:

Yeah. Pair of absolute duds.

They're both terrible choices but you get the feeling that the damage may be slightly less irreparable under Corbyn.

[bickster]

This ones quite the announcement. LibDems and Plaid are not going to field candidates in the Vale of Glamorgan...

Quote

Plaid Cymru and the Lib Dems step aside in the Vale of Glamorgan – giving Labour a free run at Cairns

Nation.Cymru

Looks like you've had choice of vote removed @chrisp65

Well you could vote Green, who they've stepped aside for in theory but in practice I don't think the Greens vote of 400 odd is going to overturn the Tory vote

[chrisp65]

35 minutes ago, bickster said:

This ones quite the announcement. LibDems and Plaid are not going to field candidates in the Vale of Glamorgan...

Nation.Cymru

Looks like you've had choice of vote removed @chrisp65

Well you could vote Green, who they've stepped aside for in theory but in practice I don't think the Greens vote of 400 odd is going to overturn the Tory vote

I’ve not voted in the thread poll yet, I’d had a bit of itk but I’d also worked it out for myself.

Tories were supposed to do a leaflet drop here today and they cancelled it. It’s not cut n dry that Cairns is still going to be their candidate and it was his picture on the leaflets.

 

[bickster]

 

[ml1dch]

 

Obviously drunk Prime Minister incoherently contradicts what the official Government documents say about his own DWA. 

It's impressive just how bad he is at all this.

[ChrisVillan]

7 hours ago, ml1dch said:

 

Obviously drunk Prime Minister incoherently contradicts what the official Government documents say about his own DWA. 

It's impressive just how bad he is at all this.

And that he's going to win.

[Amsterdam_Neil_D]

There have been no recent polls done in the last few days,  will be interesting to see how things have changed in 2 or 3 days.

I quite like the poll tracker on the guardian, I think it uses all the polls as it goes along and as they are completed.  So in theory it shows a good representation of the polls.

[Demitri_C]

18 hours ago, cyrusr said:

He is probably right about that. But to suggest Johnson is better... well I think I may have to disagree with that... 

It really is set yourself on fire or drown yourself isn't it?

[bickster]

6 minutes ago, Demitri_C said:

It really is set yourself on fire or drown yourself isn't it?

Or drown yourself with fire with the Liberal democrats

[tonyh29]

the get Surrey online poll currently has

Libs 43%

Conservative 33%

Brexit 10%

Labour 9%

Green 3%

 

not entirely scientific as old people don't know how to use the internet and that obviously hampers the Conservative vote but still quite an interesting snapshot

 

 

[bickster]

10 minutes ago, tonyh29 said:

the get Surrey online poll currently has

Libs 43%

Conservative 33%

Brexit 10%

Labour 9%

Green 3%

 

not entirely scientific as old people don't know how to use the internet and that obviously hampers the Conservative vote but still quite an interesting snapshot

 

 

Well there are reports that private polling indicates the Tories will be wiped out in London in favour of the LibDems.

So maybe these figures include the London bits of Slurry?

[Genie]

27 minutes ago, bickster said:

Or drown yourself with fire with the Liberal democrats

But as Peter Jones often says, if you're going to fail its best to fail quickly.

 

[snowychap]

A different era: