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Our home form & price of a win


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Quite shocking

Paying £150 per win at home over past 3 seasons (Based on £35 ticket price) 12 wins in 51 games



As we all already know, Aston Villa’s home form in recent years has been shocking. Paul Lambert has perhaps taken it onto even worse levels, which isn’t exactly endearing him to the  long-suffering Villa season ticket holders at the moment. Paddy Power‘s blog this week ran a story under the headline of ‘Aston Villa fans: There’s a good reason why you’re feeling miserable’, where they broke down Villa’s Villa Park woes  into some interesting calculations. While we’ve covered some of the stats elsewhere on MOMS, here’s some of the highlights…or should we say, lowlights. Then we contrast them against the upturn in Villa Park’s average attendances this season.
Aston Villa Home Form Stats
In the last five and a half years Aston Villa have notched up a win rate at home in the league of just 32 per cent
If you’re paying top-end whack of £595 each year for a season ticket since 2008/09, you would have paid £105 for every victory at Villa Park – and that’s not counting pies and pints!
If you go back 10 years to 2003/04 that win rate rises slightly to 37 per cent, but they are still winning roughly just one in every three home matches
This season only Sunderland have a worse home record than Paul Lambert’s side.
Villa only spend 27 per cent of their time in the attacking third when playing at home
They’ve managed just 36 shots on target at home this season – the only teams with less are Sunderland, Cardiff ad Stoke. That’s an average of just one accurate attempt every 26 minutes
Villa have the worst goalscoring form at home in the Premier League – racking up just seven goals. In the entire top four tiers of English football only five other sides average less than a goal a game at home
Villa Park Attendances
In the face of these poor home form stats and also the woeful performances that have been recently witnessed at Villa Park, the irony is under Paul Lambert’s management, Villa Park has enjoyed increased attendances for both of his seasons in charge. The average home gate so far this season at Villa Park of 37,057, is a 2000 increase on last season, with  the previous season’s average attendance of 35,059,  the  first increase for five seasons.
The trend won’t last though, unless there is a distinct upturn in the excitement and the quality of Villa’s play on the pitch. Such a change would also get rid of the all too frequent chorus of boos that has tended to greet the final whistle at Villa Park games recently. Onwards and upwards. UTV
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It seems to me we started the recent decline with O'Leary.... we have been in double figures once in the last 10 years in terms of home wins, 


Martin O'Neill was the only manager to achieve 10 wins in season 2007/2008, the others were below.


This is nothing new....its been poor for such a long time.


These are our previous managers who have failed to get more than 40% win ratio overall.


  • Graham Turner          - 31.43%
  • Billy McNeill                - 21.95%
  • Jo Venglos                 - 32.65%
  • Graham Taylor mk2   - 31.67%
  • David O'Leary            -35.88%
  • Gerard Houllier           -38.89%
  • Alex McLeish               -21.43%
  • Paul Lambert               -36.36%
Edited by TRO
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