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villakram

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Everything posted by villakram

  1. Right... but it is rather annoying to have any conversation that discusses the issues around measurements etc. immediately associated (and disparaged by association) with conspiracy stuff.
  2. Soap boxes have little to do with the accuracy of a national temperature record.
  3. Not that Elon really cares as they've been beta testing on public roads forever. Should really state "... traditional/legacy automaker...". https://www.carscoops.com/2023/01/mercedes-becomes-first-automaker-to-get-approval-for-level-3-autonomy-in-the-u-s/amp/ "Mercedes-Benz said today that it has received regulatory approval to operate Level 3 autonomous driving function on Nevada’s roads. That makes it the first automaker to earn such an approval in the United States."
  4. If you can find an image of exactly where this station lies that would be great. It is well known over here, for example, that the location that sensors have been located (for multiple decades) have changed drastically, with improper positioning of weather stations in relation to structures being a regular occurrence over time as we humans have continued to concrete over everything and build housing everywhere. The data on that day shows minute scale behavior that looks anomalous. E.g., see that last couple of paragraphs in the following article and the rather unsatisfactory response of the MET service person. https://www.msn.com/en-gb/weather/topstories/met-office-responds-to-doubts-over-hottest-uk-temperature-being-recorded-at-lincolnshire-raf-base/ar-AA14Em1k "That sort of rise can reportedly be caused by sunlight breaking through clouds, though the article insists that July 19 was "more or less cloudless" around 3pm. The Met Office spokeswoman said that there was "some thin cloud" around the county through the afternoon, with a south-south-westerly wind of around 16mph (14 knots) through the day." Maybe it was clouds, but I would say that the specific number is in doubt. The broader point about multiple stations measuring 40C is probably valid and I would bet that one of those stations has a more reliable dataset. Just details in the larger scheme of things, but this is an important detail, when it comes to things climate related and doing a scientific measurement correctly.
  5. There are significant issues with the 2022 number due to its proximity to airplane activity on that particular day at that particular time. The 38C ish boundary appears to be valid though, even if we ought to be concerned by the increasing encroachment of concrete jungles on the measuring device locations.
  6. It's quite entertaining watching the media turn themselves in knots trying to report on this after their end of the world Trump related reporting. Now before anyone starts... most of the media over here is of the narrative/opinion vs news variety, hence the mirth.
  7. 6. Dana getting some comeuppance.
  8. Rule of thumb is +30, under that is to be sad, over is to be happy, with +40 being the unofficial happy number. ~80 is when all the ridiculous predictions come out about future dominance. Nice 2nd figure on the following page. "The results of the 2022 midterms held true to form, with the opposing party gaining House majority." https://about.bgov.com/brief/balance-of-power-republican-majority-in-the-house/
  9. ... and then Boehner was taken out onto a public podium and stabbed in the face by them (metaphorically!)... Cantor and the Wisconsin chap followed. Mr. McCarthy was the 3rd wheel in that particular trio of hotshots. Hence, the current hostility. Fortunately McCarthy has very little in the sense of principles and will happily blow in whatever way the wind/money takes him. It would be funny if he ended up being "successful" in comparison to those other two.
  10. Not really. Launches like this are old hat and it is a significant blow to Virgin and the Cornwall launch port. They'll be grounded for a while and the competition in this ermmm - space - is intense.
  11. This is a reasonable breakdown. "Former President Donald J. Trump planned to use the 2022 midterm elections as a show of political strength. Georgia voters had other thoughts." https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/06/us/politics/trump-candidate-endorsement-georgia.html All politics is fundamentally local, e.g., they had no shot in the MI governor race as Whitmer has done a solid job. On the other hand Georgia was a slam dunk as the other races in that state showed and the candidate was on the surface great but was torpedoed by some truly sordid personal life stories. Oz in PA was a weird political transplant, which is always risky, but still lost to a clearly medically compromised opponent. I can't comment on AZ or Nevada, but they were tight races and were mostly lost on those grounds vs obvious candidate issues. Politics is tough. Remember how hard Obama had to work in his post 2008 elections, even with how popular he was.
  12. Title could easily be changed to (Another)Brazil Coup D'etat Underway. Politics there are infamously messy.
  13. This is less clear than people would like it to be imho. His high profile senate picks got well beaten but otherwise his "team" did good all the way down the repub political ladder. Post election surveys suggest the supreme court abortion decision was an important contribution to voter turnout from the incumbent party. We should also remember that elections like this are the normal course of things with waves being much harder to generate historically. The speaker vote is much tougher to read, e.g., Bannon et al. were very much behind the "rebels", and he is very much part of team MAGA/Trump.
  14. They passed the giveaway already in the lame duck, so the first 12 months are already done. Lots of playing to the gallery ahead.
  15. Such partizan takes are a part of the problem. Pelosi was a very effective politician. She did implement changes that significantly undermined the democratic powers of the elected individual members of the chamber. I do not see that as a positive in such a society as the US.
  16. "We are not a cult." "We debate like our 4dads intended." "We are independent Americans fighting for the people who elected us.... lobby money, swamp, insiders." Loads of ways to spin this in whichever manner is required. The next speaker position is somewhat of a poisoned chalice now. It'll be interesting to see who they eventually pick and what this means for repub party leadership more broadly.
  17. This should be the end of McCarthy. I am not sure why anyone cares about him being dragged over the coals a little on the way out. It is more the pity that the Dems never had the stomach to do this with Nancy.
  18. Playing to his scouting report... the reason we were able to sign him.
  19. They are the chair and decide on what happens (which bill etc.) and when (timeline for things). The powers that Nancy accumulated during her reign are a large part of the bkg issue here. The members want some power back after Nancy turned the speaker position into a supreme ruler... much like how Blair turned the PM presidential at the expense of the wider cabinet and the UK has been suffering ever since.
  20. I so hope all of tonights backroom meetings are leaked liked crazy over the coming days.
  21. Will the republicans find their John Major Such a pity that similar "chaos" cannot erupt in the senate. Far too much money/power there to allow that to happen. This is not really all that big event though for those in other countries where coalition government shenanigans are an all too regular occurrence, however.
  22. They had ~20% population loss since the 90s, so hardly all sunshine and roses.
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