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zak

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Everything posted by zak

  1. zak
    You gotta be happy with how reserved we have been for the first 70mins? We weren't working hard. Watkins had 8 touches before the 80th min or something. He's not going to be tired. McGinn subber. bailey didn't start. We will be fine
  2. zak

    Lucas Digne

    zak replied to villan-scott's topic in Villa Talk

    I dont get this post I think his play has been applauded by fans. look at this thread. You talk about people suggesting he should be sold in the summer transfer thread which is exactly where wages and opportunity cost etc should be discussed. Contribution obviously also matters, but we are tight with funds and need to see where opportunities can be created so thats why he gets mentioned. There are conversations about selling all of our players in there, if it fits. I have seen alot about selling Watkins and Luiz for example. This conversations are about whats best for the club but does not diminish how fans have seen those players.
  3. zak

    Lucas Digne

    zak replied to villan-scott's topic in Villa Talk

    I think you can have an opinion on wages as just a fan as you are really talking about opportunity costs. With FPL etc you can only pay so much. If you exclude free players (tielemans and bono) as some of their transfer fee is baked into their wages he's basically one of our top earners with Diaby, Watkins Martinez and McGinn. By all accounts he's on 3.5x Moreno. Villa may be better off if those funds were allocated elsewhere. But anyway he's been great this season and I do not fault him as a player at all.
  4. zak
    Lol, sure I get it. The issue is you would want to know we would have 4th and then see CL 5th slip away but it'll be the other way around
  5. zak
  6. zak
    Thanks, what makes it better is I think it's the only bet I have made on football this season
  7. zak
    SO SMUG
  8. zak
    Hahah knew I should make the bet when everyone on here was so down
  9. zak
    If I know anything, it's go against what Villatalk think/say
  10. zak
    This makes things better than they seem after last night, it's still likely (just about)
  11. zak
    Which one?
  12. zak

    Austin MacPhee

    zak replied to Strog's topic in Villa Talk

    Maybe one of my favourite things of Villa this season is this guy's work
  13. zak
    Sorry it's actually 39.8% of top 4 and then another 53.9% of 5th. So 93.7% for top 5. Here: but they assume 5th is champs league which I dont
  14. zak
    Just based on expected odds: We have 39.8% chance of 4th. We have 53.9% chance of 5th Currently there is 84.4% chance Prem gets 5 CL spots 85.3% chance of Champions League. Things look good Now let's smash Lille to increase it more
  15. zak
  16. zak
    So I think if you take the odds of England getting extra spot (currently c.70%) Villa have a 77.5% chance of getting champs league next year
  17. zak
    I don't think it's ever got less than 60% but as per my previous message it's baking everything in and telling you how likely it is and that will be based on the English teams progressing
  18. zak
    I don't get what you are saying all that is baked into the odds. The odds change when circumstances change but currently there's a 70.6% chance. So if this situation happened 100 times, you'd expect Premier league to get the extra spot around 70 times
  19. zak
    70.6% not 60% fyi
  20. zak
    Ben Crellin has Man city game as "confirmed or very likely" between Burnley and Sheffield while he's had the Chelsea game "likely" to be between Liverpool v Burnley but also possible the week before
  21. zak
    thanks, was looking for this earlier so currently we have a 77.7% chance of being in the champions league next year.
  22. zak
    Not an ideal draw but it's still significantly more than likely that England get the extra spot and you keep talking like it's not likely anymore. If it happened 10 times, England would get the extra spot 7 and wouldn't 3. That's still very good. Heap up, we got this
  23. zak
    don't really know how they got from the 88.1% to 82.5% but here's what they say! So deffo wasn't an ideal draw
  24. zak
    I mean it's currently 88.1% chance premier league, so Germany need way more than Bayern win
  25. zak
    Statistically unlikely (12.8%), so yeah they probably are
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