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Posts posted by MessiWillSignForVilla

  1. 5 minutes ago, rjw63 said:

    Why Southampton and Wet Spam?

    Villa and Newcastle have had more seasons in the Preeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeemier League.

    Our relegations were more recent, it's the 9 teams with the current longest spell in the league. It's arbitrary really though, the proposal has been designed so any 3 clubs could fill that slot, all that's needed is the top 6 to agree on something to implement changes.

    • Sad 1
  2. 1 minute ago, tinker said:

    Glad this bickering will be over in a few weeks , I wonder who will come out on top. Bet it's a draw,, 4-4 . 

    Leeds had a great game against Liverpool and we had a better game , we have had an extra year in the Premier League but Bielsa has had a few more years to build his team. 

    Question I would really like to ask is how long has Philip's got left on his contract? 😉

    Oh, we are definitely getting pumped 4-0 or something. We were shocking against them in the Championship, and even the couple of years before they went down when they were terrible. We were actually decent against them when they were good.

  3. 13 minutes ago, TheStagMan said:

    As for Crediting Bielsa with "showing us the way" (muppets) they really should be saying how brilliant Smith is, in being able to take Bielsa's ideas and convert them from a 4-3 loss to a 7-2 win......

    This is ultimately what I don't get about Bielsa. He's raved about as being amazing, and I get that he's certainly a manager's manager, but if you look at every manager inspired by him, they take his ideas but convert them in to something much better and add the stability that makes his ideas workable. That's why Bielsa hasn't won a major trophy for 30 years. Professional sport is littered with visionaries who are so obbsessed with their systems that they can't see the faults or can't apply the system to get sustained success, who are then followed by much better coaches that perfect their ideas. For all the managers that are inspired by Bielsa (Pochettino, Guardiola, Simeone to name a few), how many actually play similarly to him? Or even each other?

    So maybe Smith was inspired by Bielsa, but he'd just be another in a long line of managers that saw his work and went "I can make that better".

  4. 3 hours ago, BigRed said:

    I think what villa fans are missing is that on the night Liverpool were terrible at the back so the focus instantly went to how poor they were defending. 

    Hahaha, did you manage to miss Gomez playing attacking midfield against Leeds or van Dijk giving Bamford an assist?:crylaugh:

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  5. Don't know if it's been mentioned yet, but there's no Alisson and no Mane for them, that's two huge players that they massively rely on. Still going to be a massive ask obviously, but with those two out, our chances improve massively.

  6. 31 minutes ago, KenjiOgiwara said:

    Between the deadline and this Jota stuff I've got a stupid question. Our squad as it stands... which players will be dropped from the 25 man squad? 

    Wesley and Kalinic I assume. Also wouldn't be surprised to see either Lansbury or Nyland have their contracts terminated as they both have just one year left on their contracts too.

  7. 10 minutes ago, Okonokos said:

    Sounds to me like we want more players but are restricted by FFP. Hopefully we can get rid of a few.

    More likely to be due to squad size, you can only register 25 players, and we have 28 senior players now that Luiz, Davis and Konsa(?) no longer count as U21. We could register a 25 man squad with Wesley, Kalinic and Nyland/ Heaton likely to miss out, but would leave us with no room for any additions other than U21s, hence we need to sell.

    • Like 2
  8. 2 minutes ago, villalad21 said:

    Did he actually say this??


    Yes he did, but the point he was making was that the authorities don't respect them as they aren't "big enough", so they've given them a schedule where they'll be playing every two days over the next week or so.

  9. 31 minutes ago, Zatman said:

    Was that Lansbury making a run into the box as well when Watkins scored 😮 

    It was, for me it's what made the goal, drew the defender freeing up the pass from AEG to Trez and then giving him time to line up the pass across to Watkins. All round a well worked goal.

  10. 4 hours ago, useless said:


    The problem with this is it looks good out of context, but in context, it isn't that great, just kind of okay. As others have pointed out, this is likely xA/90 for players that have played 1000+ minutes, however his xA is around 27th in the league, which is still fairly high. You also have to consider that over half of his xA is from set pieces* and corners (according to understat - 3.01 xA from set pieces and corners, 2.72 xA from open play - this open play xA would drop him from 27th to 100th in xA of players with 1000+ minutes), which when looked at deeper shows that whilst his open play has a higher xA than his set pieces alone (2.72 v 2.49) his xA/Key Passes (passes that result in a shot) is higher for Set Pieces (0.25 v 0.17), which would indicate that from open play he provides a higher quantity of lower quality passes, and the inverse for set pieces.

    Which essentially paints the picture that most of us already knew, Conor is a set piece specialist, and mostly average elsewhere. Specifically, he is a free kick specialist, as from the 6 players that I can see that took corners for us last season, Conor ranked 5th with an xA/KP of 0.04, with only El Ghazi's 0.03 ranking below. (This is partly due to the fact that corners are getting increasingly harder to score from, hence why so many teams now take short corners as they have a greater chance of goals). Having said that, I couldn't find how many corners each player took, so I couldn't how these numbers compare to the volume of corners taken, which could add further insight.


    This is all to say, stats like xG and xA can be useful, however they are meaningless when used in isolation to compare players, and you need to dig down in to them to help formulate a greater picture of a player and what they offer to a team, and they also need a good sample size to be relevant, which is why xG for singular games is useless, whereas over an entire season it can give you an idea of team performance.


    *I don't know why understat separates these out, I assume they are just free kicks.

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