These numbers assume no dramatic improvement in quality of play (including, for instance, tactics), nor any new manager bounce. Additionally, as can be seen in the recent yo-yoing of the Tyne & Wear clubs' chances, it only takes one sufficiently good result to cause things to look (at least for a time) a lot brighter.

1. Villa: 99.6% (+1.3%)
2. Sunderland: 84.9% (+26.3%)
3. Bournemouth: 67.7% (+12.8%)
4. Norwich: 25.9% (+0.2%)
5. Newcastle: 14.5% (-27.0%)
6. WBA: 3.3% (+0.3%)
7. Chelsea: 1.9% (+0.8%)
8. Liverpool: 1.8% (-11.9%)
9. Swansea: 0.5% (+0.3%)