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Monte Carlo simulation (Round 10)


leviramsey

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The Monte Carlo results as of 30 October. The current results, Round 11, will follow in another post soon.

15th 0.1% -0.3%
16th 0.4% -0.8%
17th 1.2% -2.3%
18th 3.5% -8.6%
19th 11.4% -18.6%
20th 83.4% +30.9% Median, maximum likelihood
  1. Villa: 98.3%
  2. Sunderland: 58.6%
  3. Bournemouth: 53.9%
  4. Newcastle: 41.5%
  5. Norwich: 25.7%
  6. Liverpool: 13.7%
  7. Watford: 3.5%
  8. WBA: 3.0%
  9. Chelsea: 1.1%
  10. Everton: 0.4%
  11. Swansea: 0.2%
  12. Stoke: 0.1%

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