Monte Carlo simulation (Round 9)
13th | 0.1% | -1.1% | |
---|---|---|---|
14th | 0.2% | -2.2% | |
15th | 0.4% | -3.9% | |
16th | 1.2% | -5.7% | |
17th | 3.5% | -6.7% | |
18th | 12.1% | -2.7% | |
^^^ upper quartile | |||
19th | 30.0% | +7.7% | |
20th | 52.5% | +15.6% | Median, maximum likelihood |
Barring major change, I think we're nailed-on for rock-bottom.
- Aston Villa: 94.6% chance of relegation
- Sunderland: 90.8%
- Bournemouth: 68.2%
- Norwich: 16.7%
- Watford: 10.1%
- West Brom: 8.5%
- Liverpool: 7.5%
- Newcastle: 3.3%
- Swansea, Stoke: 0.1%
Of course, it only takes one emphatic win to change the assessment, as Newcastle ably prove, but do we honestly see that sort of result coming from this incarnation of Villa?
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