Monte Carlo simulation (Round 8)
Entry posted by leviramsey
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Has the bleeding stopped?
| 9th | 0.1% | unchanged | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10th | 0.1% | unchanged | |
| 11th | 0.2% | -0.1% | |
| 12th | 0.6% | +0.1% | |
| 13th | 1.2% | +0.2% | |
| 14th | 2.4% | +0.8% | |
| 15th | 4.3% | +1.5% | |
| 16th | 6.9% | +1.9% | |
| 17th | 10.2% | +1.3% | |
| ^^^ upper quartile | |||
| 18th | 14.8% | -1.4% | |
| 19th | 22.3% | -4.9% | Median |
| vvv lower quartile | |||
| 20th | 36.9% | +0.6% | Maximum likelihood |
Despite the increased chance of finishing rock-bottom, our overall relegation chances decreased:
- Villa: 74.0% (-5.7%)
- Sunderland: 60.2% (-23.8%)
- Newcastle: 52.4% (+22.6%)
- Bournemouth: 40.0% (-15.0%)
- West Brom: 35.3% (+27.7%)
- Watford: 22.7% (+11.9%)
- Liverpool: 9.0% (-10.8%)
- Norwich: 3.7% (-0.3%)
- Stoke: 1.0% (+0.9%)
- Chelsea: 0.9% (+0.8%)
- West Ham: 0.5% (-0.3%)
- Swansea: 0.3% (-6.2%)
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