PuntersAdvice Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 PuntersAdvice Betting Log This betting log will be very selective and usually only one bet will be posted each week. This will be a medium term project that will last for a minimum of 2 years. The opening balance will be 1,000. Stake will be 5% or 10% of the current balance. Markets: win-draw-win over 2.5 goals both teams to score team to win & over 2.5 goals Prices will be taken from 6 bookmakers: Bet365 Ladbrokes Stan James William Hill BetVictor Paddy Power The leagues I will focus on are: English Premier League Spanish Primera Division German Bundesliga Italian Serie A French Ligue 1 Dutch Eredivisie Portuguese Primeira Liga Irish Premier League Norwegian Eliteserien Swedish Allsvenskan Finnish Veikkausliiga Japanese J-League USA Major League Soccer Champions League Europa League On to the opening bet of the log... English Premier League: Southampton v Liverpool -Southampton average 2.59 goals per league game (12/27 Over 2.5 Goals). -Liverpool average 3.89 goals per league game (20/27 Over 2.5 Goals). -Daniel Sturridge has scored in eight consecutive Premier League appearances. -Only four teams have kept fewer clean sheets than Liverpool in the top flight this season (7), three of those teams are in the bottom four. -Southampton have scored in 23 of their 27 league matches this season. -There have been a total of 49 goals scored in each teams last 6 league matches. -There have been over 2.5 goals scored in fifteen of Liverpool’s last seventeen games in the Premier League. -Liverpool have conceded at least two goals in eight of their last ten away matches in the Premier League. -Defensive midfielder Wanyama is absent for Southampton. Bet: Over 2.5 Goals Stake: 50 Bookmaker: BetVictor Odds: 1.75 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Davkaus Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Why does this seem to be posted verbatim on pretty much every football forum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S-Platt Posted March 1, 2014 VT Supporter Share Posted March 1, 2014 Scraped in but fairplay!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 Thanks S-Platt. Gerrard has been one of my favourite players since the 2005 Champions League final and he did the business once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NurembergVillan Posted March 2, 2014 Moderator Share Posted March 2, 2014 I'll keep an eye on this thread. I've had a stinker at the bookies this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Electric Avenue Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Hmmm interesting and a good start . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted March 3, 2014 Author Share Posted March 3, 2014 Southampton 0-3 Liverpool Balance: 1,037 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted March 15, 2014 Author Share Posted March 15, 2014 English Premier League: Everton v Cardiff City -Everton have scored over 1.5 goals in 8 home games this season. -Cardiff have conceded over 1.5 goals in 9 away games this season. -Everton have won 6 from their last 7 home league games. -Everton are undefeated in 21 of their last 22 home matches in the Premier League. -Cardiff have won just one away game all season, lost their last 7, and they have failed to score in eight of their last 10 away matches. -Cardiff have been losing at both half time and full time in 5 of their last 7 away matches in the Premier League. -Center-back Ben Turner could be doubtful for Cardiff. Bet: Everton To Score Over 1.5 Goals Stake: 52 Bookmaker: StanJames Odds: 1.57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted March 15, 2014 Author Share Posted March 15, 2014 English League 1: Wolves v Shrewsbury -Wolves are looking to make it a club record 10 consecutive wins. -Wolves have won their last 9 games by a minimum 2 goal margin with 7 clean sheets. -Shrewsbury have 1 win in their last 11 games. -Shrewsbury have doubts over on-loan Bolton striker Tom Eaves (hamstring), Aaron Wildig (quad) and Luke Summerfield (thigh). Bet: Wolves -1 Asian Handicap Stake: 104 Bookmaker: Bet365 Odds: 1.475 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AndyM3000 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Almost went with Wolves on this as well. Good job I didn't. Straight up bets or doubles/trebles max are the way to go though, not often these come in. Not sure what happened to the betting thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted March 16, 2014 Author Share Posted March 16, 2014 English Premier League: Man Utd v Liverpool -Liverpool have scored at least 3 goals in their last 4 matches in the Premier League. -Liverpool have won their last 4 matches in the Premier League. -Liverpool have been superb in attack, however, and may take a lead into the break having scored 27 more goals in the first half of league matches this season than their hosts. -Liverpool have won 5 of their last 6 league matches, scoring 20 goals and have lost just 4 away league games this season. -Man Utd have lost or drawn 50% of their league matches. -Man Utd have to consider their match against Olympiakos who have just won their domestic league and have a 2 goal advantage in the Champions League and more than likely Man Utd will have to win the CL to be in the competition next season. -Fellani is starting and is far too slow against Liverpools front 6. Liverpool: Mignolet, Johnson, Skrtel, Agger, Flanagan, Gerrard, Allen, Henderson, Sterling, Suarez, Sturridge Man Utd: De Gea, Rafael, Jones, Vidic, Evra, Mata, Fellaini, Carrick, Januzaj, Rooney, van Persie Bet: Liverpool To Win Or Draw (Double Chance) Stake: 96 Bookmaker: Bet365 Odds: 1.55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted March 16, 2014 Author Share Posted March 16, 2014 English Premier League: Tottenham v Arsenal -We will round off this weeks bets with the last game in the Premier League between two local teams teams who both have a host of injuries however Tottenham don't have many top quality replacements unlike Arsenal. -Arsenal missing: Diaby, Walcott, Ozil, Ramsey. -Tottenham missing: Lamela, Chiriches, Capoue, Dawson, Dembele. -Tottenham are on a bad run having lost on Thursday to Benfica and are 6 points behind Arsenal in the race for a champions league place having played 1 game more. -Arsenal have won both meetings this season. -Tottenham have conceded 5 goals in each of their home games against Man City and Liverpool and will again be playing with a slightly unusual formation against one of the most technically proficient teams in the league and should be pinned in their own half for much of the game with a lineup that looks to be trying to play counter attacking football which they simply don't have the pace for against this Arsenal side. Tottenham: Lloris; Naughton, Kaboul, Vertonghen, Rose; Sandro; Townsend, Bentaleb, Eriksen, Chadli; Adebayor. Arsenal: Szczesny, Sagna, Koscielny, Mertesacker, Gibbs, Arteta, Rosicky, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Podolski, Cazorla, Giroud. Bet: Arsenal To Win Or Draw (Double Chance) Stake: 54 Bookmaker: Boylesports Odds: 1.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted March 16, 2014 Author Share Posted March 16, 2014 Everton 2-1 Cardiff City Wolves 0-0 Shrewsbury Man Utd 0-3 Liverpool Tottenham 0-1 Arsenal Balance: 1,037 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted April 1, 2014 Author Share Posted April 1, 2014 Champions League: Barcelona v Atletico Madrid -Have played eachother 4 times since 2013, all under 3.5 goals. -Last two meetings finished 0-0. -Atletico have not won at Camp Nou since 2006 and will come to this match to defend and go to the second leg at home with a 0-0 or 1-1 result. -Barcelona have won 2 of their previous 6 Champions League matches against Spanish opposition. -Atletico are undefeated in the Champions League. -Barcelona struggled to break down a tight defensive unit in Espanyol at the weekend, winning 1-0 and will face a similar strategy here. -Atletico's top scorer Diego Costa picked up a knee injury on Monday and is doubtful for this match. Bet: Under 3.5 Goals Stake: 52 Bookmaker: StanJames Odds: 1.44 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted April 1, 2014 Author Share Posted April 1, 2014 Barcelona 1-1 Atletico Madrid Balance: 1,060 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted April 5, 2014 Author Share Posted April 5, 2014 French Ligue 1: Guingamp v Montpellier -Guingamp and Montpellier occupy 18th and 15th place in the total goals per league match table with 1.91 and 2.29 goals respectively. -They both have an average of 1.5 total goals per match in their last 6 league games. -They have a combined 74% of league matches going under 2.5 goals. -Guingamp have the 4th worst offense and the 5th best defense in the league. -Saihi (Montpellier) has returned but has said himself he is another 2 or 3 games away from match fitness. -Defender Mathieu Deplagne is available for Montpellier, but will serve a one-match ban for accumulation of yellow cards against Marseille. -Guingamp will soon have captain Lionel Mathis available again following an Achilles injury, but the Montpellier match comes too soon. Bet: Under 2.5 Goals Stake: 53 Bookmaker: Ladbrokes Odds: 1.55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted April 10, 2014 Author Share Posted April 10, 2014 Guingamp 1-2 Montpellier Balance: 1,007 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
villa89 Posted April 11, 2014 Share Posted April 11, 2014 (edited) <delete> Edited April 11, 2014 by villa89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted April 13, 2014 Author Share Posted April 13, 2014 German Bundesliga: Hoffenheim v Augsburg -There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Hoffenheim's last 17 home games in the Bundesliga. -Hoffenheim have scored at least 2 goals in their last 8 home matches in the Bundesliga. -There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Augsburg's last 6 away games in the Bundesliga. -Hoffenheim are undefeated in their last 5 home matches against Augsburg in all competitions. -Augsburg still have a slight chance to qualify for Europe themselves after a win against Bayern last weekend. Several important players could return to the starting line-up. -The last meeting had 24 shots with 16 on target. Bet: Over 2.5 Goals Stake: 50 Bookmaker: Ladbrokes Odds: 1.55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted April 14, 2014 Author Share Posted April 14, 2014 Hoffenheim 2-0 Augsburg Balance: 957 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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